NR23 Business Plan
Introduction
Alistair Borthwick / Chief Financial Officer
Our NR23 business plan sets out how we will continue to provide good service quality to our customers across a range of traffic levels at a cost-effective price so that we are not a brake on recovery. We have listened carefully to feedback we received from our customers, responded to requests for change and taken direction on the options we presented. Alongside the plan we have published a number of appendices, containing extensive additional data and other information to support our proposals.
The aviation industry continues to face significant uncertainty which has hindered the scale and pace of sector recovery and our ability to plan for the future. We will need to monitor carefully the pace of traffic recovery over coming months and the balance of resources and service targets while the CAA conducts its review. We look forward to engaging on the CAA’s proposals in the coming months.
Introduction
Alistair Borthwick / Chief Financial Officer
Our NR23 business plan sets out how we will continue to provide good service quality to our customers across a range of traffic levels at a cost-effective price so that we are not a brake on recovery. We have listened carefully to feedback we received from our customers, responded to requests for change and taken direction on the options we presented.
Alongside the plan we have published a number of appendices, containing extensive additional data and other information to support our proposals.
Latest update
We are reviewing the CAA’s Final Decision regarding the five-year NR23 regulatory period, which confirms the pricing which has already been in place with our customers since 1 January 2023. Details of the announcement, which was published in October, can be accessed on the CAA website on the NATS License page.
Key outcomes for NR23
per passenger
delay per flight
reduction (4.4%) by 2035
The highlights
- A safe and efficient air traffic system: Supporting flights that exceed 2019 levels in 2027 by up to 15% at an efficient service performance level
- Supporting the industry’s recovery: Underlying unit cost similar to 2019 at around £52 (2020 prices) and the deferral of 2020-22 revenue shortfalls recovery and profiling prices
- Meeting net zero ambitions: Enhanced environmental and fuel benefits, consistent with industry targets to achieve net zero emissions by 2050, and increased societal expectations on aviation
- Advancing airspace modernisation: To improve environmental performance and accommodate future traffic growth, supported by our technology transformation programme
- Operational resilience: Develop and train the next generation of air traffic controllers to mitigate expected retirements, safely meet projected demand and provide further operational resilience
- Appropriate financial resilience: Protection against a slower recovery or future traffic/economic shocks, essential for maintaining critical national infrastructure
Metrics & targets
Area | Metric | Target |
Traffic | UK flights (base case) | 2.4m to 2.6m pa (-6% to +2% vs 2019) |
Chargeable Service Units (base case) | 11.6m to 12.7m pa (-7% to +2% vs 2019) | |
Safety | Range of European and UK based metrics | Maintaining or improving safety performance vs 2019 |
Service quality | C1: all causes delay | 14.7 – 15.3 seconds per flight |
C2: NERL related delay | 10.2 – 10.8 seconds per flight | |
C3: weighted score | 20 – 22 seconds per flight | |
C4: variability of daily average delays | 1800 score | |
Technical resilience | Compliance with Licence Condition 2 | |
Environment | 3Di flight efficiency | 27.6 – 28.0 pa score |
Contribution to net zero | On target for 4.4pp reduction by 2035 | |
Investment | Total NR23 capital investment | £574m (2020 CPI prices) |
Financials | Total operating costs | £433m pa average (1% lower vs 2019) |
Total determined costs | £670m pa average (1% higher vs 2019) | |
Underlying en route DUC | £52 pa average (2% higher vs 2019) |
Plan & appendices
- A - CAA guidance on business planDownload
- B - Customer and passenger consultationDownload
- C - Traffic forecastDownload
- D - SafetyDownload
- E - CapacityDownload
- F - EnvironmentDownload
- G - Operational resourcingDownload
- H - Capital investment programmeDownload
- I - Determined costs, DUCs and pricesDownload
- J - Operating costsDownload
- K - Cash pensionsDownload
- L - Single till incomeDownload
- M - Cost of capitalDownload
- N - FinanceabilityDownload
- O - BenchmarkingDownload
- P - Regulatory model & mechanismsDownload
- Q - ScenariosDownload
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